Gameweek 27 in the Ligue 1 features 9 fixtures. The headline clash sees Paris Saint Germain vs Metz (85% confidence). Our AI model combines Elo ratings, Poisson goal distributions, and bookmaker odds to predict every match with scores, win probabilities, and BTTS tips.
Brest vs Olympique Marseille Prediction
Fri 20 Feb at 19:45 — Stade Francis-Le Ble
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 27.3% | 25.2% | 47.5% |
| Odds | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: Olympique Marseille | Confidence: 48%
Olympique Marseille predicted based on Elo ratings (1456 vs 1653), Poisson model (xG: 1.26 - 1.42), and market odds.
Lens vs Monaco Prediction
Sat 21 Feb at 16:00 — Stade Bollaert-Delelis
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 63.6% | 20.5% | 15.9% |
| Odds | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Lens | Confidence: 64%
Lens predicted based on Elo ratings (1685 vs 1488), Poisson model (xG: 1.83 - 0.30), and market odds.
Toulouse vs Paris Prediction
Sat 21 Feb at 18:00 — Stadium de Toulouse
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 55.5% | 24.0% | 20.4% |
| Odds | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Toulouse | Confidence: 56%
Toulouse predicted based on Elo ratings (1535 vs 1394), Poisson model (xG: 1.73 - 0.85), and market odds.
Paris Saint Germain vs Metz Prediction
Sat 21 Feb at 20:05 — Parc des Princes
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 84.9% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Odds | 1.11 | 8.00 | 19.00 |
Predicted Score: 3-0 | Tip: Paris Saint Germain | Confidence: 85%
Paris Saint Germain predicted based on Elo ratings (1700 vs 1306), Poisson model (xG: 3.50 - 0.30), and market odds.
Auxerre vs Rennes Prediction
Sun 22 Feb at 14:00 — Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 33.0% | 26.2% | 40.8% |
| Odds | 2.87 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: Rennes | Confidence: 41%
Rennes predicted based on Elo ratings (1324 vs 1573), Poisson model (xG: 1.21 - 0.76), and market odds.
Angers SCO vs LOSC Lille Prediction
Sun 22 Feb at 16:15 — Stade Raymond Kopa
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.4% |
| Odds | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: LOSC Lille | Confidence: 44%
LOSC Lille predicted based on Elo ratings (1465 vs 1600), Poisson model (xG: 1.36 - 1.20), and market odds.
Nantes vs Le Havre Prediction
Sun 22 Feb at 16:15 — Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 42.6% | 30.0% | 27.4% |
| Odds | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Nantes | Confidence: 43%
Nantes predicted based on Elo ratings (1343 vs 1371), Poisson model (xG: 1.05 - 0.56), and market odds.
Nice vs Lorient Prediction
Sun 22 Feb at 16:15 — Allianz Riviera
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 46.0% | 28.0% | 25.9% |
| Odds | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Nice | Confidence: 46%
Nice predicted based on Elo ratings (1418 vs 1497), Poisson model (xG: 1.33 - 0.41), and market odds.
Strasbourg vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Sun 22 Feb at 19:45 — Stade de la Meinau
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 42.6% | 28.2% | 29.2% |
| Odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.87 |
Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Strasbourg | Confidence: 43%
Strasbourg predicted based on Elo ratings (1559 vs 1633), Poisson model (xG: 1.33 - 0.63), and market odds.
Top Picks
Our highest-confidence predictions this gameweek:
- Paris Saint Germain vs Metz — Paris Saint Germain (85%)
- Lens vs Monaco — Lens (64%)
- Toulouse vs Paris — Toulouse (56%)
BTTS Picks
Matches most likely to see both teams score:
- Brest vs Olympique Marseille — BTTS Yes 54%
- Angers SCO vs LOSC Lille — BTTS Yes 52%
- Toulouse vs Paris — BTTS Yes 46%
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Metz?
Our model predicts Paris Saint Germain with 85% confidence. The predicted score is 3-0.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Metz?
We predict 3-0 based on Elo ratings, Poisson goal models, and bookmaker odds analysis.
What are the best Ligue 1 bets this week?
Our top 3 picks for GW27: Paris Saint Germain in Paris Saint Germain vs Metz (85%), Lens in Lens vs Monaco (64%), Toulouse in Toulouse vs Paris (56%).
Will both teams score in Brest vs Olympique Marseille?
Our model gives BTTS Yes a 54% probability for this match.
Predictions generated by MyPredictify AI using Elo ratings, Poisson models, and bookmaker odds. View all predictions | Build an ACCA. Always gamble responsibly.