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La LigaGW262025-26

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: La Liga GW26 Predictions (2025-26)

Our AI picks every La Liga GW26 match. Real Madrid at 69% leads 10 predictions with scores, BTTS tips & ACCA suggestions.

Published 12 February 2026

Gameweek 26 in the La Liga features 10 fixtures. The headline clash sees Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad (69% confidence). Our AI model combines Elo ratings, Poisson goal distributions, and bookmaker odds to predict every match with scores, win probabilities, and BTTS tips.


Elche vs Osasuna Prediction

Fri 13 Feb at 20:00 — Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

HomeDrawAway
Probability40.4%27.3%32.3%
Odds2.753.302.50

Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Elche | Confidence: 40%

Elche predicted based on Elo ratings (1447 vs 1553), Poisson model (xG: 1.60 - 0.75), and market odds.


Espanyol vs Celta de Vigo Prediction

Sat 14 Feb at 13:00 — RCDE Stadium

HomeDrawAway
Probability36.9%27.8%35.2%
Odds2.503.202.80

Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Espanyol | Confidence: 37%

Espanyol predicted based on Elo ratings (1595 vs 1574), Poisson model (xG: 0.95 - 1.31), and market odds.


Getafe vs Villarreal Prediction

Sat 14 Feb at 15:15 — Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

HomeDrawAway
Probability25.8%27.2%46.9%
Odds3.203.102.30

Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: Villarreal | Confidence: 47%

Villarreal predicted based on Elo ratings (1384 vs 1637), Poisson model (xG: 0.87 - 1.18), and market odds.


Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Sat 14 Feb at 17:30 — Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

HomeDrawAway
Probability45.1%27.8%27.1%
Odds2.103.103.70

Predicted Score: 1-0 | Tip: Sevilla | Confidence: 45%

Sevilla predicted based on Elo ratings (1405 vs 1511), Poisson model (xG: 1.66 - 0.74), and market odds.


Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Sat 14 Feb at 20:00 — Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

HomeDrawAway
Probability69.1%18.2%12.7%
Odds1.365.007.50

Predicted Score: 2-0 | Tip: Real Madrid | Confidence: 69%

Real Madrid predicted based on Elo ratings (1679 vs 1532), Poisson model (xG: 2.31 - 0.55), and market odds.


Real Oviedo vs Athletic Club Prediction

Sun 15 Feb at 13:00 — Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

HomeDrawAway
Probability25.6%29.8%44.7%
Odds3.353.152.20

Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: Athletic Club | Confidence: 45%

Athletic Club predicted based on Elo ratings (1300 vs 1489), Poisson model (xG: 0.60 - 0.91), and market odds.


Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Sun 15 Feb at 15:15 — Estadio de Vallecas

HomeDrawAway
Probability20.8%26.7%52.5%
Odds4.003.301.90

Predicted Score: 0-1 | Tip: Atlético Madrid | Confidence: 53%

Atlético Madrid predicted based on Elo ratings (1342 vs 1658), Poisson model (xG: 0.63 - 1.00), and market odds.


Levante vs Valencia Prediction

Sun 15 Feb at 17:30 — Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

HomeDrawAway
Probability40.7%27.1%32.2%
Odds2.623.252.60

Predicted Score: 2-1 | Tip: Levante | Confidence: 41%

Levante predicted based on Elo ratings (1321 vs 1363), Poisson model (xG: 1.82 - 1.24), and market odds.


Mallorca vs Real Betis Prediction

Sun 15 Feb at 20:00 — Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

HomeDrawAway
Probability33.1%26.1%40.8%
Odds3.003.202.35

Predicted Score: 1-2 | Tip: Real Betis | Confidence: 41%

Real Betis predicted based on Elo ratings (1426 vs 1616), Poisson model (xG: 1.64 - 1.36), and market odds.


Girona vs FC Barcelona Prediction

Mon 16 Feb at 20:00 — Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

HomeDrawAway
Probability15.2%18.6%66.3%
Odds6.504.751.40

Predicted Score: 0-2 | Tip: FC Barcelona | Confidence: 66%

FC Barcelona predicted based on Elo ratings (1468 vs 1700), Poisson model (xG: 0.98 - 3.00), and market odds.


Top Picks

Our highest-confidence predictions this gameweek:

  • Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad — Real Madrid (69%)
  • Girona vs FC Barcelona — FC Barcelona (66%)
  • Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid — Atlético Madrid (53%)

BTTS Picks

Matches most likely to see both teams score:

  • Levante vs Valencia — BTTS Yes 59%
  • Mallorca vs Real Betis — BTTS Yes 59%
  • Girona vs FC Barcelona — BTTS Yes 54%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Our model predicts Real Madrid with 69% confidence. The predicted score is 2-0.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

We predict 2-0 based on Elo ratings, Poisson goal models, and bookmaker odds analysis.

What are the best La Liga bets this week?

Our top 3 picks for GW26: Real Madrid in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad (69%), FC Barcelona in Girona vs FC Barcelona (66%), Atlético Madrid in Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid (53%).

Will both teams score in Levante vs Valencia?

Our model gives BTTS Yes a 59% probability for this match.

Predictions generated by MyPredictify AI using Elo ratings, Poisson models, and bookmaker odds. View all predictions | Build an ACCA. Always gamble responsibly.


Related

  • La Liga GW26 Review
  • All La Liga predictions
  • GW25 Preview
  • GW27 Preview

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